值得关注的三大资产：May 11-15
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Markets are once again kicking off the week by reacting to the weekend's developments surrounding the Middle East conflict.
Attempts to end the Middle East conflict reached an impasse after the US and Iran rejected each other's peace proposals.
Of course, cryptos reacted first, with Bitcoin submerging back below $82k once more
The NAS100 index is easing lower by 0.1%, though still holding around record highs
Spot gold (Bybit: XAUUSD+) is down 1%, having met resistance around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) once more - just like it did back in mid-April.
As has been the case since end-Feb ...
Markets are bound to remain sensitive to the Iran war this week.
Key events to watch (besides the Iran war)
Even then, there are other major macro events that traders and investors have to tend to this week (May 11-15):
Monday, May 11: US Senate may vote on Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed Chair
Tuesday, May 12: US consumer price index (CPI) a.k.a. Inflation
Thursday - Friday, May 14-15: President Donald Trump set to visit President Xi Jinping in China.
Friday, May 15: Jerome Powell's tenure as Fed Chair ends (Goodbye, Mr. “Good Afternoon”).
Key Assets to Watch:
1) Gold to re-test $4500 support?
We haven’t written much about gold of late, which has been adhering to a sideways range for the past couple of months.
However, from a technical perspective, traders would have noted that spot gold’s 50-day SMA has crossed below its 100-day counterpart - which could be interpreted as a “bearish signal” (i.e. a sign that prices may fall further).
POTENTIAL SCENARIOS
UPSIDE: Spot gold may revisit resistance around $4831 if the US releases lower-than-expected inflation data, while geopolitical tensions ease on the global stage - either on the Middle East front or during Trump’s visit to China - which weakens the US dollar while giving room for gold to move back higher.
DOWNSIDE: Spot gold may revisit support around $4511 if the US unveils higher-than-expected US inflation data, while geopolitical tensions spike once more on the global stage, strengthening the US dollar and ramping up inflation risks, which in turn drags spot gold lower.
At the time of writing, Bloomberg’s forecast model predicts a 74% chance that spot gold trades between $4516 - $4834 over the next one-week period.
2) HKTECH to hit 2-month high; test 100-day SMA resistance?
Bybit’s Hang Seng TECH Index Cash CFD (HKD) represents the 30 biggest tech companies listed in Hong Kong.
This stock index includes Asian tech giants that are set to unveil their respective earnings results this week:
Tue, May 12: JD.com (forecasted 1-day, post-earnings move of 4.7% up/down) - accounts for 5.5% of HKTECH
Wed, May 13: Tencent (forecasted 1-day, post-earnings move of 2.9% up/down) - accounts for 8% of HKTECH
Wed, May 13: Alibaba (forecasted 1-day, post-earnings move of 5.9% up/down) - accounts for 7.4% of HKTECH
With these 3 stocks accounting for over 20% of the HKTECH index ...
The markets’ reaction to their respective earnings may move the broader HKTECH index as well.
POTENTIAL SCENARIOS
UPSIDE: 在5100水平上方有意义的每天关闭可能会看到HKTECH触及2个月的激进并重新测试其100天SMA的阻力位，假设在全球市场中可以维持风险承担活动，而特朗普总统访华缓解了中美紧张局势。
下行：如果心理上的5100赛区再次施加强大的阻力位——正如自3月以来的前几次情况那样——HKTECH可能会被拖动回落，以测试其50天SMA附近的支撑由于避险情绪上升，特别是如果地缘政治紧张局势在全球舞台上再次加剧。
3) SOLUSDT触及3个月的激进？
Solana多头（那些希望价格能走高的人）在96.00心理关口附近再次受挫——这是在2026年3月中旬出现的一个关键阻力位。
尽管如此，交易者会注意到安静的看涨信号源自其最近上穿100天对应指标的21天SMA。
在按市值排名的十大数字资产中...
Solana是2026年5月迄今为止最大的赢家，领取了13.9%的本月迄今涨幅。
潜在情景
上行：在96.00水平上方有意义的每天关闭可能会看到SOL自2026年2月初以来首次印出高于100美元的价格，假设市场风险情绪允许非主流币最终跟随自4月以来一直在反弹的比特币的领先地位。
下行：如果96心理关口再次施加强大的阻力位，那么SOLUSDT可能会重新测试心理90美元关口附近的支撑，其21天和100天SMA位于更南的地方，有可能提供更强的支撑。
免责声明：
本文仅供一般信息之用，仅反映作者的观点。它不构成投资建议，也不构成買入或賣出任何金融工具或数字资产的要约或招揽。您访问或使用任何提及的产品或服务的能力可能会受到您所在司法管辖区的法律和监管要求的约束。